Insights

The U.S. economy is slowing across the board.

The Fed can't like the strong job growth and surge in wages in November.

You have to ask: is he here to hurt or help?

FOMC voters must stick to the data to make their next decision on rates.

Municipal securities have much to offer if the economy slows.

Potential recession is likely to be mild.

But it's a lot more expensive this year.

Perhaps. But the focus should be on quality.

Mix shift in retail spending points to slower economic growth.

Many reasons for a rally but don't expect it to last.

Wide corporate bond spreads are enticing, but the time to add to credit sectors hasn't come yet.

Republicans fail to achieve expected midterm election gains.

Play it safe with cash until further clarity.

Maybe everyone, including markets, could use a little boring.

A weakening dollar and other trends bode well for EM debt.

Energy sector stays hot.

Solid week of employment data keeps Fed aggressive.

And it doesn't look like the Fed is planning one anytime soon.

Allow time before setting sail with international opportunities.

Fed Chair Powell indicates the pace of hikes is not as crucial as arriving at the right place.

Remaining defensive as 2023 consensus on earnings and Fed remains too optimistic.

Money market yields have returned to pre-GFC levels.

Positive Q3 GDP growth provides a respite.

Investors may seek cover in value stocks.

Consider the big picture when assessing markets ... and life.

Hawkish Fed prompts us to lower our GDP growth estimates.

Consumer staples come out on top.

And they may get it as midterms seem to be trending the GOP's way.

How climbing rents keep inflation elevated.

Monetary policy may impact midterm rally.

As they bide their time, investors should focus on strengthening portfolios.

Investors bracing for a challenging third-quarter earnings season.

Dividends hold up against volatility.

Use, duration and timeframe can diversify investments.

This market has been in a bad place for some time.

With peak yields in sight, better times may be too.

Everything we thought might go wrong at start of the year, has.

Whether or not this bear market survives October, investors will face an unnerving environment.

The sun's not the only thing that's hot in Hawaii these days.

Numerous factors affect our outlook. 

Fed projections are less useful these days.

More warnings appear. 

Disasters all over have markets on edge.

Investors may feel winter chill in Europe.

Fed Chair Powell reiterates hawkish Jackson Hole message.

Investors seeking shelter from stormy markets.

Commodity based economies positioned to succeed.

Control results weak, but school shopping solid.

How much corporate earnings fall could determine where the market bottoms.

Amid this week's chaos, good vibes in visits to Atlanta and Nashville. 

Higher, sooner and longer for these hawkish policymakers.

Queen Elizabeth II was a constant in a world of turmoil. 

There are reasons to think it might.

Perhaps Wall Street can take a cue from Main Street and just chill.

Relatively healthy jobs report keeps Fed hiking rates.

 Cash has become a compelling asset class.

The dollar has been on the rise. What’s the implication for U.S. investors?

Fed Chair uses Jackson Hole keynote to reset investor expectations. 

'70s stagflation made many people grumpy, which is why no one wants a repeat.

The housing market slowdown is a correction, not a crisis.

And with it, the rally in stocks is likely ending, too.

Bears and bulls facing off on what the Fed may do.

Their answers could play a big role in midterm elections.

A lot is riding on a Fed pivot.

Quantitative tightening puts pressure on risk assets.

What will the White House do with student debt?

Hot July jobs report keeps Fed on warpath against inflation.

Ways to position for the market ahead.

Continuing rally hopes face structural inflation headwinds.

Seeking opportunities amid volatility.

Next month will mark a half-year of hikes, time enough to evaluate their impact.

But high inflation and Fed tightening are taking us closer.

Uncertainties casting doubt on the rally.

How supply-chain issues have driven up values.

Battery technology, charging stations, safety and costs among key issues.

It's inflation versus recession with the Fed in the starring role.

Rising recession risk favors defensive dividend stocks, cash and Treasuries.

Hot inflation, stagflation concerns, recession fears and a hawkish Fed.

Investment and life lessons from Stephen Auth.

After years of playing defense, it's time to think offense.

Inflation and recession face off as the market weighs which is worse.

Fed on track for a 0.75% hike in late July.

Markets might be setting up for '70s' era modest returns.

The real impacts come after the elections.

And the storm might not be over.

Could it be setting investors up for a glorious winter?

Where to turn when risk rates rise.

Consumers will play a large role in determining the depth of the global recession.

Selling equities into rally as outlook for 'Rocky Landing' grows more likely.

Patience and diversification are key.

Fed policy shift should cool the housing market.

Dividends have withstood market volatility.

Unfortunately for workers, wage inflation at heart of Fed tightening.

Nuclear could see a resurgence as world turns to cleaner energy.

Markets are adjusting to the new Fed regime.

Dividend-paying sectors have remained steady through good times and bad.

Can the Fed negotiate a soft landing?

Consumer Price Index surges to a new 40-year high.

Helpful qualities in a market that's distributing so much pain.

Investors seek to reduce risk.

Contradictory data offers something for optimists and pessimists.

Fed remains on track for more half-point hikes.

Consumers powered the recovery and markets. Will they hold up? 

Stagflation and recession risks growing.

A near-term bottom may be in sight.

No recession on the immediate horizon.

Consumers may hold the key to whether it's a recession or "softish" landing. 

The U.S. should ramp up energy production.

Cash tops shopping list but other possibilities starting to look promising.

Our bias is to add to risk. We’re just not there … yet.

The asset-backed securities market continues to shine.

War-driven food crisis could spawn destabilizing uprisings all over.

Is the labor market slowing?

Unrelenting demand presents challenges as Fed seeks to unwind price pressures.

Fed still on track for a half-point hike.

Washington policies helped to create runaway inflation.

Demand for power continues to climb.

Russia’s invasion, higher energy costs, soaring inflation, hawkish Fed…

Inflation that moderates but stays elevated can be a problem.

Inflation likely to peak in 2022. 

Bonds wrestle with pricing Fed, war and inflation outcomes.  

The only question for investors: at what cost?

A host of negative factors could end the recent rally.

High demand and low supply creates a fierce housing market.

The inflation genie is out of the bottle and the Fed will take action.

Year-end S&P forecasts for 2022 and 2023 lowered to 4,800 and 5,100.

Fed on pace for half-point hike in May.

Russia-Ukraine conflict taking its toll.

R.J. Gallo, Susan Hill and Phil Orlando weigh in on the latest Fed action and inflation expectations. 

Still cautiously favoring equities as unpredictable Putin plays under his own rules. 

The U.S. must pursue a dual-track energy policy.

Greenspan supported U.S. markets. Now it's President Xi Jinping's turn in China.

It may feel similar, but the differences are many.

But is the equity rally a head fake?

Like the NCAA tourney, uncertainty reigns in markets.

Facing inflation and other market headwinds, defensive dividend-paying stocks may offer some protection.

Federated Hermes stands on the side of freedom, independence and democracy.

Hard to call a bottom when investor fear is missing.

Scenarios vary but on a 12-month view, stocks should be higher from here.

Companies ignore the ESG movement at their own risk. 

Health-care innovation continues to accelerate.

Ukraine, energy, inflation and Fed driving markets.

Second consecutive sharp gain puts Fed on track to hike.

Germany's vow to ramp up military spending is a long-term game-changer

Where is consumer spending going?

Remaking of the Fed’s board and rate hikes could be in flux.

Is the market putting in a bottom on peak everything?

The Ukraine situation likely accelerates recent sell-off.

Its offense (dividends) and defense (lower multiples) play well in current environment.

Holiday sales were surprisingly robust

A better back-half looms for equity investors. Getting there could be rocky.

Shortages shed light on role of microchips in unlocking information's value.

Fed must juggle inflation versus recession risks.

Midterm election years are particularly challenging.

The sector continues to lead through broader market turmoil.

The labor market ignored omicron and winter weather in January.

Megatrends and secular shifts continue to create long-term opportunities.

If there's no recession in sight, stay bullish.

What it costs to host the Olympics.

The long wait is over.

Inflation spiking while job growth and consumer spending have slowed.

Our outlook across asset classes.

Fortune favors companies that can pass on cost increases.

Ratings upgrades and rebounding economy create favorable backdrop.

Munis may hit bumps on the Fed's path but should have much to offer in 2022.

And if it does, the world becomes a more dangerous place for investors. 

It's all about inflation expectations.

New year presents new opportunities across sectors.

Three things to watch in 2022.

Two early-year stock market indicators point in different directions.

Fed tightening and evaporating fiscal stimulus should make for a bumpy road.

Fed poised to hike rates in March

Federated Hermes' 2022 outlook.

Timing of Fed’s rate moves will impact bank-loan market.

We’re constructive based on several factors.

Season is bright for retailers, despite headwinds.

Omicron is weighing on psyches, but not so much markets ... yet.

Three things to watch in 2022.

Passive target-date funds can be vulnerable to ESG risks.

Despite global supply chain issues, U.S. shoppers are spending more.

Several paths to pursue more yield in short-duration bonds.

Three things to watch in 2022.

Shorter-duration investments are worth a look.

Omicron is a nonevent for the markets.

Overcoming limitations of third-party data providers.

The omicron variant is driving the markets now.

Reiterating 4,800 and 5,300 '21 and '22 targets and value tilt

Market risks stay skewed to upside but inflation and possible policy errors lurk.

Our equity team examines the Fed’s clues to forecast when tapering will begin.

FOMC's unofficial projection suggests acceleration, but remains dovish