Federated U.S. Government Securities Fund: 1-3 Years (Y) FSGTX

Share Classes Product Type Asset Class Category
Mutual Fund Fixed Income Short-Term Bond
As of 03-31-2018

Market Overview

The Federal Reserve (Fed) raised overnight lending rates in March and forecast an additional two hikes later this year. The Fed has spoken for years about a gradual normalization of overnight interest rates and has hiked five times in the last three years. The labor statistics continued to point to a strong and robust employment situation and satisfied the Fed’s mandate of full employment. Inflation, its other mandate, has not reached the Fed’s 2% target in many years. However, during the quarter, inflation prints surprised to the upside. The weak dollar and strong commodities (oil) sowed the seeds for inflation to increase over time. Also supportive of future inflation was the administration’s announcement of tariffs on imported steel and aluminum. Fiscal policy again provided market-moving developments as legislative leaders agreed to a budget outline that increased federal outlays by $390 billion. This action, coupled with the tax reform package, increased the fiscal budget deficit and the amount of supply needed to be auctioned by the Treasury Department. The vast majority of this increased supply was in the bill sector and forced shorter maturity Treasury rates higher. Another noteworthy event in the quarter was the return of volatility to risk assets. The VIX Index, which measures volatility in the equity market, jumped to more than 35, startling investors. This index had been trading under 20 since the last quarter of 2016. Risk assets were sold initially but finished the quarter with a small loss.

For the quarter, 2-year Treasury rates rose 38 basis points and 5-year rates rose 36 basis points. Inflation expectations widened by 10 to 15 basis points, and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) modestly outperformed.


For the three months ended March 31, 2018, Federated U.S. Government Securities Fund: 1-3 Years (Institutional Shares) returned -0.18% versus -0.13% for the BofA Merrill Lynch 1-3 Year US Treasury Index. The Institutional Shares’ net asset value (NAV) on March 31, 2018, was $10.19.

Performance data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than what is stated. Other share classes may have experienced different returns than the share class presented. To view performance current to the most recent month-end and for after tax returns, click on the Performance tab.

Click the Performance tab for standard fund performance.

Positioning and Strategy

The fund maintained less interest-rate sensitivity relative to the index. Given the aggressive back-up in front-end yields and increase in volatility, the fund’s duration underweight was smaller than in past quarters. The fund spent most of the quarter with a curve exposure expressing a neutral position relative to the index. One significant change in the portfolio was trimming the fund’s TIPS holdings. Breakeven rates, the yield difference between TIPS and nominal Treasuries, climbed to more than 2%, presenting a level to harvest some performance. The fund continues to have an allocation to the inflation sector. Tariffs, the tight domestic labor market and buoyant global growth support a rise in inflation. Tight spreads and increases in volatility have diminished the appeal of agency debt, and the fund has no holdings other than Treasuries and TIPS.

Options on Treasury futures were implemented as a way to manage volatility and increase income in the portfolio.