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Market Views - Equity

Our experienced, specialized investment professionals have delivered disciplined equity portfolios for more than thirty years. Choose an article to read our views of today’s economy and global stock markets.

Orlando's Outlook: Taxman Tuesday & Wednesday with Janet 
Apr. 17, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
For investors, Fed Chair Janet Yellen's speech to the Economic Club of New York was familiar; not so the new changes to the Fed tax code.
Weekly Update: God bless 
Apr. 17, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Inflation may be a worry but it is not one the Fed shares at this juncture
Orlando's Outlook: Growing wall of worry sparks defensive rotation 
Apr. 11, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Many factors and seasonal forces feed sell-off but all roads should lead to a strong close to 2014
Weekly Update: Sages 
Apr. 11, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Members of the greatest generation remind us to stay calm and keep your eyes on the prize
Orlando's Outlook: Goldilocks jobs report keeps Fed on steady path 
Apr. 4, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
This week's reports show that on balance the economy is improving
Weekly Update: If I could turn back time 
Apr. 4, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Maturing growth, low inflation and low interest rates make for a nice market backdrop
Orlando's Outlook: New sheriff in town 
Mar. 28, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
The ascension of Janet Yellen to Fed Chair will likely lead to the market volatility that traditionally occurs in the first year of a transition, but her tenure already has had some drama.
Weekly Update: Where do you suppose we'll go from here? 
Mar. 28, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
A lot of conflicting data and signals may mean one thing: A melt-up is coming
Weekly Update: 'Kiev is the mother of all Russian cities' 
Mar. 21, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
There's always something to worry about and for the market, that's a good thing
Secular Bull Update: Spring thaw could become a melt-up 
Mar. 20, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
With everyone expecting a correction and growth primed to spurt, the pain trade is to the upside
Orlando's Outlook: Economy beginning to thaw 
Mar. 19, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Key economic metrics (finally) turning upward.
Orlando's Outlook: Weather is first-quarter GDP speed bump 
Mar. 14, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Assessing the economy lately: 'It's the weather, stupid."
Weekly Update: 'I know a lot of gamblers' 
Mar. 14, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Volality may be around for a while
Orlando's Outlook: Labor market heating up 
Mar. 7, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Job growth suprises again to the upside, setting up for a stronger spring
Weekly Update: Spring is coming 
Mar. 7, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
For now, the markets are looking beyond the Ukraine and like what they see
Orlando's Outlook: Hall pass 
Feb. 28, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Investors likely will look past the sluggish economy, expect better days after winter's thaw
Market Memo: Connecting the dots—near-term market risk is to the upside. 
Feb. 28, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Housing, energy, technology, China and Fed are all pointing higher
Weekly Update: Transitions are never easy 
Feb. 28, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
As S&P 500 moves to new highs, the question is will the run continue or is a pullback in order?
Weekly Update: In LA, I look for Brad Pitt; in Music City, it's Blake Shelton 
Feb. 21, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Looking past the weather, it's all systems go
Orlando's Outlook: Snow woes chill retail 
Feb. 20, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
We hate to blame the weather, but there is no getting around its role in the mixed economic news.
Weekly Update: A weather hug 
Feb. 14, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
The market looks beyond a tough winter that continues to wreak havoc with the data
Orlando's Outlook: Winter thaw for January jobs 
Feb. 7, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
We continue to believe in the underlying strength of the U.S. economy and labor market despite mixed reports and brutal weather.
Secular Bull Update: Time to buy the dips again 
Feb. 7, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Weather and EM worries move to back burner on improving fundamental picture
Weekly Update: Next week, I'll try going further south—to Florida 
Feb. 7, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
It's best to look beyond the weather's impact on the data
Orlando's Outlook: Solid fourth-quarter GDP 
Jan. 31, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Despite historically cold weather and mixed economic reports, GDP was strong and bodes well for 2014
Weekly Update: 'Atlanta, we're ready for the snow'—Mayor Kasim Reed 
Jan. 31, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
EM troubles could spark long-awaited correction but not likely anything worse
Market Memo: The EM isn't a monolith 
Jan. 27, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Troubles among some emerging markets don't necessarily signal troubles for all
Orlando's Outlook: As Washington goes, so goes the consumer 
Jan. 24, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Phil wonders if Washington has the political will to tackle the imminent debt ceiling date
Weekly Update: Zicke-zacke, zicke-zacke, hoi, hoi, hoi 
Jan. 24, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Inflation, top-line revenue trends bode well for market (and a correction would be OK)
Orlando's Outlook: Economic acceleration 
Jan. 17, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
We raise our second-quarter GDP estimate on mounting evidence of economic recovery.
Weekly Update: What if it's just the fourth inning? 
Jan. 17, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Expansion appears to be picking up steam and, given how far the economy fell, has a ways to go
Secular Bull Update: From fear to greed 
Jan. 16, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Individuals and businesses who realize the world isn't ending represent the next market catalysts
Orlando's Outlook: Weather freezes December jobs report 
Jan. 10, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Nonfarm payrolls come in well below forecasts while jobless rate falls for the wrong reasons
Weekly Update: The perfect week to 'blame it on the weather' 
Jan. 10, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
The cold and snowy winter may be messing with seasonal data, led by December's jobs report
2014 Global Economic Outlook 
Dec. 30, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Will 2014 be a good year for U.S. stocks and the European economy?
Orlando's Outlook: Good follows great 
Dec. 20, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Consumer spending, Fed, Washington, jobs, manufacturing bode well for stocks and economy
Weekly Update: In a holiday mood 
Dec. 19, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
The Fed adds to the catalysts that are keeping this rally going
Orlando's Outlook: Merry taper sparks shift to max equity overweight 
Dec. 19, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Fed's move adds to economic and earnings momentum driving stocks' rally
Orlando's Outlook: Progress 
Dec. 13, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Bipartisan buget bill could bode well for Christmas spending and the economy
Weekly Update: You hear what you want to hear 
Dec. 13, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
There may be a few bumps before year-end but it's been a good year
In short: 2014 S&P target lifted to 2,100 
Dec. 6, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Growth is accelerating and that's good for earnings
Orlando's Outlook: Countdown to taper 
Dec. 6, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Accelerating job market could prompt a move but uncertainties remain for Fed
Weekly Update: 'The Arizona Room' 
Dec. 6, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Latest batch of economic data builds case for bullish 2014
Weekly Update: 'They're killing me!' 
Nov. 27, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
While clients worry about losing money, the market keeps making more
Orlando's Outlook: Happy Thanksgivukkah 
Nov. 27, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
It could be a decent season and springboard for 2014 if Washington stays out of the way
Orlando's Outlook: Off-year election lessons 
Nov. 22, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
2013 elections suggest Americans want moderate, get-it-done leaders
Weekly Update: Blue skies 
Nov. 22, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
A correction may be coming but there's a lot to like about the longer outlook
Weekly Update: Warmth from the weather and people in California 
Nov. 15, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
A correction may come but the fundamentals indicate equities have longer-term momentum
Orlando's Outlook: Is improving GDP growth sustainable? 
Nov. 12, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
The third quarter was a pleasant surprise but more Washington drama could disrupt momentum
Secular Bull Update: The story remains the same 
Nov. 11, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
While a pullback is possible, macroenvironment still favors equities
Orlando's Outlook: Is tapering back in play? 
Nov. 8, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
October's surprisingly strong jobs report leaves market wondering what Fed will do
Weekly Update: Serenity now! 
Nov. 8, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
The jobs report may move up Fed taper but it's still good news for stocks
Orlando's Outlook: Retail sales were decent after all 
Nov. 1, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Beyond worrisome headlines, the numbers suggest consumers could surprise this holiday season
Weekly Update: Everything looks good in paradise 
Nov. 1, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
And on the mainland, too, as a potential melt-up could be in the offing
Orlando's Outlook: Flying blind 
Oct. 25, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Washington's dysfunction throws a cloud over outlook, leading us to lower our GDP forecasts
Weekly Update: Taking off the Halloween masks of QE and ACA 
Oct. 25, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
These issues could be a big headwind for the economy and markets in 2014
Weekly Update: That taper has been pushed off for months and months 
Oct. 18, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
With an all-in Fed and end to the latest but surely not last round of fiscal drama, stocks may be good to go
Orlando's Outlook: Groundhog Day 
Oct. 18, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
The can got kicked again but we worry another act of fiscal drama may be playing soon
Orlando's Outlook: Hey Washington—it's the economy, stupid 
Oct. 11, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
The next few days should determine if congressional Republicans and Obama can find common ground
Weekly Update: Kicking the turkey down the road 
Oct. 11, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
If a debt deal gets struck, the markets are going to love it ... until the next self-made crisis arises
Orlando's Outlook: Washington's leadership vacuum 
Oct. 4, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Both Congress and Obama are responsible for current mess but there are ways to fix it
Weekly Update: 'The True North strong and free' 
Oct. 4, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Washington sheningans may do the market a favor. But let me ask you, have you ever been to Vancouver?
Time is a growth investor's friend 
Oct. 2, 2013 :: Lawrence E. Auriana
Senior Portfolio Manager Larry Auriana discusses growth investing for the long term.
2014—The return of growth 
Oct. 2, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Chief Investment Officer for Global Equities Steve Auth examines what will drive economic growth in 2014.
Bull market transitioning to new phase 
Oct. 1, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Chief Investment Officer for Global Equities Steve Auth discusses the transition from the first phase of the bull market to the second
Orlando's Outlook: Housing's not dead yet 
Sept. 27, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Mortgage rates may have slowed momentum but there are many reasons to think it's only temporary
Weekly Update: When is a contrary indicator a contrary indicator? 
Sept. 27, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Washington's dithering may hurt stocks for a while but don't lose sight of the fundmental drivers of this bull
Orlando's Outlook: Autumn's coming, Summers' done and Fed taper on hold 
Sept. 20, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Events shape an equity rally later but expect a pullback near-term
Weekly Update: 'Welcome to the Hotel California' 
Sept. 20, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Fed eliminates one of September's headline risks but there's still time for negative surprises
Market Memo: Ben throws a tantrum of his own 
Sept. 19, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Fed chairman lets market know that policymakers, not bond vigilantes, are in charge
Secular Bull Update: Be ready for a possible market pullback 
Sept. 16, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Looming issues could spark an equity sell-off but long-term, this market remains bullish
Orlando's Outlook: From 'Fiscal Drag' to 'Wealth Effect' 
Sept. 13, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Federated raising growth forecast on better fundamentals
Weekly Update: 'Stay hungry. Stay foolish' 
Sept. 13, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Rates may be headed higher but not enough, it seems, to derail strengthening economy
Weekly Update: 'Lowest participation rate since 1978' 
Sept. 6, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Weak jobs report belies other signs of economic acceleration
Orlando's Outlook: Close enough for government work 
Sept. 6, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
August's tepid jobs report does just enough to keep Fed on tapering track
Weekly Update: Smile in the age of worry 
Aug. 30, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Bumps in the road shouldn't derail this market's long-term potential
Orlando's Outlook: Seasonal bear offers bullish opportunity 
Aug. 30, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Several issues could trip up the market in coming weeks but the longer-term bull appears solid
Orlando's Outlook: Status quo at the Fed 
Aug. 23, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Little clarity forthcoming this week over central bank's plans
Weekly Update: Pardon me, boy, the U.S. is on the verge of greatness again 
Aug. 23, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Tapering and Fed chairman blather may keep correction going for a while but it shouldn't last
Infographic: As housing and autos rev up, so should the economy 
Aug. 22, 2013 ::
Employment in the auto and housing sectors are drivers of economic growth.
Weekly Update: 'Hurricane season coming' 
Aug. 16, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
A correction was overdue but that doesn't mean it won't get better once we get through September
Orlando's Outlook: Fed's three-ring circus 
Aug. 13, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
When it comes to Bernanke's successor, there are many hats in the ring
Secular Bull Update: Remember, buy on dips 
Aug. 9, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
This market run should last awhile
Weekly Update: Five is a good number 
Aug. 9, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Stronger growth should help equities continue their run
Orlando's Outlook: Fiscal policy decisions still matter to GDP growth 
Aug. 6, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Advanced second-quarter GDP report much better than dour estimates predicted
Orlando's Outlook: Disappointing July jobs report 
Aug. 2, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
A weak across-the-board assessment of the labor market
Weekly Special: Nice work if you can get it 
Aug. 2, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Structural impediments may hold down job growth, and that could be good for stocks
Orlando's Outlook: Second-half GDP bounce on track 
Jul. 26, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Transition from "Fiscal Drag" to "Wealth Effect" will boost second-half GDP
Weekly Special: Code Blue 
Jul. 26, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Obamacare has many hurdles to clear
Orlando's Outlook: Taper TIPS, too 
Jul. 23, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Stocks continue to benefit from stronger economic growth
Orlando's Outlook: Solid Back-to-School season on deck 
Jul. 19, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
June retail sales disappointing but the trends point to a better second-half
Weekly Update: For the first time in three years things are copacetic 
Jul. 19, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Fundamentals appear to be going the equity market's way
Weekly Update: 'Most bad government has grown out of too much government' 
Jul. 12, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
There's a lot of upside momentum in the market
Market Memo: Worry can be a beautiful thing 
Jul. 12, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Fears may help rein in too much enthusiasm but forces increasingly favor equities
Orlando's Outlook: Restocking could spark second-half manufacturing rebound 
Jul. 12, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Key metrics are lining up for a big second-half push on factory floors
Orlando's Outlook: Will solid June jobs let Fed, "See you in 'Septaper?' " 
Jul. 5, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Bigger-than-expected increases in payrolls could give greenlight to initial Fed pullback in QE
Weekly Update: Earning it 
Jul. 5, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Markets turn focus to second-quarter reports as possible next catalyst
Equity Outlook: Growth set to star in secular bull's second act 
Jul. 1, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
The current pullback is healthy for a market that could push 2,000 on the S&P 500 in 2014
Orlando's Outlook: All that glitters is not gold 
Jun. 28, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Mideast turmoil could cause commodity and precious metal prices to do an about-face
Weekly Update: Command economy 
Jun. 28, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
China may be the biggest worry but it's unlikely to derail the market
Prepared for Rising Rates? 
Jun. 27, 2013 :: John L. Nichol
How should investors position themselves for rising rates?
Weekly Update: Things that make me go, 'Hmm' 
Jun. 21, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Economy, jobs, housing and sequestration are subjects worth exploring more deeply
Branch out into Cyclicals 
Jun. 19, 2013 :: Linda Bakhshian
Where are income opportunities in cyclicals?
Orlando's Outlook: Asset-allocation team adds to equities again 
Jun. 18, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Stronger growth, more attractive valuations and continued QE should lift equities
Orlando's Outlook: GDP outlook strengthens 
Jun. 14, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Autos, consumer, housing look to lift an economy hobbled by policy missteps
Weekly Update: This is it 
Jun. 14, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Market pullback may offer opportunities as long-term trend looks positive
A 'Goldilocks' jobs report 
Jun. 10, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
What is the news out of May's mixed labor report?
Orlando's Outlook: A 'Goldilocks' jobs report 
Jun. 7, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
May's not-too-hot, not-too-cold report should keep Fed on ice and markets happy
Weekly Update: Elevator shaft 
Jun. 7, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
There's a lot to worry about but don't let that get in the way of what the market is doing
Orlando's Outlook: Housing, autos poised to drive stronger second half 
May 31, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Economy's organic strength picking up and offsetting sequester
Weekly Update: This is undeniable 
May 31, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
The Fed is playing a role but it's the fundamentals that are now driving economy and market
In short: S&P set to top 2,000 in 2014 or 2015 
May 30, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Receding tail risk and improving growth should drive equities higher
Orlando's Outlook: Washington's three-ring circus 
May 24, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Despite facing policy and political headwinds, the market keeps grinding higher
Weekly Update: The turtle with the fat wallet 
May 24, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Maybe it will be a sideways market this summer
Orlando's Outlook: Consumer not dead yet 
May 17, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Data this week show shoppers are feeling better and spending more
Weekly Update: It's a 'My Cousin Vinny' market 
May 17, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Much of the evidence suggests a melt-up may be underway
Orlando's Outlook: Apple bond deal indicative of corporate tax-policy madness 
May 10, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Apple hits up the debt market to raise money it can't get from overseas without paying hefty tax
Weekly Update: Congratulations! 
May 10, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
What's to stop the market rally? Not the millennial generation as its starts to make its mark
Orlando's Outlook: April jobs report surprisingly strong 
May 3, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Private payrolls rise with big February revisions, jobless rate falls for the right reasons
Market Memo: Bears in bull clothing finally capitulate 
May 3, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
This melt-up should take us to 1,660 on the year as investors rotate into cyclical sectors
Weekly Update: The most beautiful wall of worry has May flowers on it 
May 3, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Pity the bears. They keep waiting for a pullback to get in and it has yet to come
Don't Fight the Fed 
May 1, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
How is U.S. fiscal policy impacting the economy?
Orlando's Outlook: Fiscal policy matters 
Apr. 26, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Growth is being held back by higher taxes and spending cuts
Weekly Update: Defense 
Apr. 26, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Defensive sectors have led this rally and, on a seasonal basis, are poised to remain on top
The 2% Problem 
Apr. 25, 2013 :: Daniel Peris
What's wrong with companies that only pay shareholders 2 percent yield?
Buy Businesses, Not Stocks 
Apr. 25, 2013 :: Daniel Peris
Are share buybacks a good value for stockholders?

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