Market Views - Equity

Our experienced, specialized investment professionals have delivered disciplined equity portfolios for more than thirty years. Choose an article to read our views of today’s economy and global stock markets.

Weekly Update Special: Three's a charm 
Aug. 15, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Longer-term inflation, consumer, energy and manufacturing trends bode well for economy and equities
Orlando's Outlook: Stay the course 
Aug. 11, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Improvement in the labor market, autos, manufacturing and the consumer point to above-trend GDP growth in this year's second half.
Weekly Update Special: Why would anyone put a dividend-oriented fund in a 401(k)? 
Aug. 8, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
For total return, that's why.
Orlando's Outlook: Second-quarter GDP snapback 
Aug. 4, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Government report surprises consensus (but not us) as growth rebounds from winter's hit
Orlando's Outlook: Just right 
Aug. 1, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
July job growth slowed a bit, unemployment ticked up and wages were flat, a mix the equity market likes because it should keep Fed at bay.
Weekly Update Special: How can you be complacent and cautious at the same time? 
Aug. 1, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
A bull market loves to climb a wall of worry and a correction every now and then
Orlando's Outlook: No free lunch on minimum wage 
Jul. 25, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
To minimize impact, any increase in federal standard should be phased in
Weekly Update: Life is like the "Seinfeld" show 
Jul. 25, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
The data continue to support our long-term bullish call
Goldilocks Cubed Update: The data to date is 'just right' 
Jul. 21, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Our near- and long-term bullish views are being reinforced by events and reports of late
Orlando's Outlook: Inflection point on trade 
Jul. 18, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
hold
Weekly Update: The dark underside of job growth 
Jul. 18, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
We're getting jobs, but not a lot of good ones. And that could deter growth and the market.
Orlando's Outlook: Manufacturing Bounce Could Spark Inventory Re-stocking 
Jul. 11, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
It appears to us that manufacturing, which accounts for roughly 12% of overall U.S. economic activity, has begun to turn the corner.
Weekly Update: Whisper words of wisdom 
Jul. 11, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
So what if stocks pull back a bit? With no recession in sight, the longer trend is bullish
Orlando's Outlook: Employment fireworks 
Jul. 3, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
With the Labor Department reporting that nonfarm payrolls surged 288,000 jobs in June, the economy has added 200,000 or more jobs five months in a row for the first time in nearly 15 years.
Weekly Update Special: Happy Fourth of July! 
Jul. 2, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
There are reasons to be bullish ... and bearish
Weekly Update: I'm going to Alaska for the first time 
Jun. 27, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
The market may be in vacation mode but the data all point to a continued up move
Orlando's Outlook: Tuesday with Charlie 
Jun. 26, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Philadelphia Fed President Charlie Plosser believes economic growth and inflation are rising faster and the employment rate falling more quickly than most members of the Fed expect.
Weekly Update: I am NOT going to live to be 95! 
Jun. 20, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
But if I did, I'd feel OK about it since I use the diversified-yield strategy
Orlando's Outlook: Sustainable GDP bounce 
Jun. 20, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Federated remains more upbeat than the consensus view of the economy, pointing to recent strong improvements in the labor market, auto sales, manufacturing, consumer spending and even housing.
Goldilocks cubed update: Exhibits A, B and
Jun. 19, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
More evidence that earnings, monetary policy and historic volatility continue to favor equities
Orlando's Outlook: Delayed gratification 
Jun. 13, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Housing remains a laggard in the midst of a positive-trending economy
Secular Bull Update: Goldilocks cubed 
Jun. 13, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
There are signs that the secular bull is closer to its beginning than its end
Weekly Update: There is a cost to living in paradise 
Jun. 13, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
My week in Hawaii found many worried; that should be good for equities
Orlando's Outlook: May jobs trend is our friend 
Jun. 6, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Recent job reports put the brutal winter slowdown in the rear-view mirror.
Weekly Update: 'We were welling up in Houston' 
Jun. 6, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Fracking has this state, and this country, cracking
Orlando's Outlook: No double dip 
May 30, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
While the U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter, the underlying details were not nearly as bad, and we think an economic bounce is underway
Weekly Update: I love summer 
May 30, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
With winter fading from memory, and the data, the market appears poised to continue up
Orlando's Outlook: Pfizer deal shows why tax reform needed 
May 23, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
In our view, there is a desperate need for Washington to undergo comprehensive fiscal-policy reform.
Weekly Update: Thelma and Louise should have first considered dividends 
May 23, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
As long as there is worry and growth, this bull should be good
Orlando's Outlook: 'Mapril' points to strengthening consumer 
May 16, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Analysts need to study the combined results of both March and April?so-called "Mapril" results?to get a true reading on how strong or weak the Easter retail season actually was.
Weekly Update: The wall of worry has David Tepper on it! 
May 16, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
The market appears destined to be range-bound for awhile
Weekly Update: Wither the saver 
May 9, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Low yields may be around for awhile even as stocks continue to rally
Orlando's Outlook: Winter froze first-quarter GDP 
May 8, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Temporarily stalled by the frigid weather, we expect to see an upward first-quarter revision and a powerful rebound in second-quarter GDP
Orlando's Outlook: Mixed signals 
May 2, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Strong headline payroll gain is offset by a host of other less-than-stellar metrics
Secular bull update: Sell in May? Not this year 
May 2, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
All signs point to accelerating growth, and that should be good for stocks
Weekly Update: It is now May 
May 2, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Will "Sell in May and go away'' hold true this year?
Orlando's Outlook: Weather pivot to boost GDP 
Apr. 25, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
We stay bullish on the economy, pointing to strong improvments in employment, manufacturing and the consumer.
Weekly Update: Deep in the heart of Texas 
Apr. 24, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Is this the year to "Sell in May and go away?"
Orlando's Outlook: Taxman Tuesday & Wednesday with Janet 
Apr. 17, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
For investors, Fed Chair Janet Yellen's speech to the Economic Club of New York was familiar; not so the new changes to the Fed tax code.
Weekly Update: God bless 
Apr. 17, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Inflation may be a worry but it is not one the Fed shares at this juncture
Orlando's Outlook: Growing wall of worry sparks defensive rotation 
Apr. 11, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Many factors and seasonal forces feed sell-off but all roads should lead to a strong close to 2014
Weekly Update: Sages 
Apr. 11, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Members of the greatest generation remind us to stay calm and keep your eyes on the prize
Orlando's Outlook: Goldilocks jobs report keeps Fed on steady path 
Apr. 4, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
This week's reports show that on balance the economy is improving
Weekly Update: If I could turn back time 
Apr. 4, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Maturing growth, low inflation and low interest rates make for a nice market backdrop
Orlando's Outlook: New sheriff in town 
Mar. 28, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
The ascension of Janet Yellen to Fed Chair will likely lead to the market volatility that traditionally occurs in the first year of a transition, but her tenure already has had some drama.
Weekly Update: Where do you suppose we'll go from here? 
Mar. 28, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
A lot of conflicting data and signals may mean one thing: A melt-up is coming
Weekly Update: 'Kiev is the mother of all Russian cities' 
Mar. 21, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
There's always something to worry about and for the market, that's a good thing
Secular Bull Update: Spring thaw could become a melt-up 
Mar. 20, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
With everyone expecting a correction and growth primed to spurt, the pain trade is to the upside
Orlando's Outlook: Economy beginning to thaw 
Mar. 19, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Key economic metrics (finally) turning upward.
Orlando's Outlook: Weather is first-quarter GDP speed bump 
Mar. 14, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Assessing the economy lately: 'It's the weather, stupid."
Weekly Update: 'I know a lot of gamblers' 
Mar. 14, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Volality may be around for a while
Orlando's Outlook: Labor market heating up 
Mar. 7, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Job growth suprises again to the upside, setting up for a stronger spring
Weekly Update: Spring is coming 
Mar. 7, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
For now, the markets are looking beyond the Ukraine and like what they see
Orlando's Outlook: Hall pass 
Feb. 28, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Investors likely will look past the sluggish economy, expect better days after winter's thaw
Market Memo: Connecting the dots—near-term market risk is to the upside. 
Feb. 28, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Housing, energy, technology, China and Fed are all pointing higher
Weekly Update: Transitions are never easy 
Feb. 28, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
As S&P 500 moves to new highs, the question is will the run continue or is a pullback in order?
Weekly Update: In LA, I look for Brad Pitt; in Music City, it's Blake Shelton 
Feb. 21, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Looking past the weather, it's all systems go
Orlando's Outlook: Snow woes chill retail 
Feb. 20, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
We hate to blame the weather, but there is no getting around its role in the mixed economic news.
Weekly Update: A weather hug 
Feb. 14, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
The market looks beyond a tough winter that continues to wreak havoc with the data
Orlando's Outlook: Winter thaw for January jobs 
Feb. 7, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
We continue to believe in the underlying strength of the U.S. economy and labor market despite mixed reports and brutal weather.
Secular Bull Update: Time to buy the dips again 
Feb. 7, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Weather and EM worries move to back burner on improving fundamental picture
Weekly Update: Next week, I'll try going further south—to Florida 
Feb. 7, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
It's best to look beyond the weather's impact on the data
Orlando's Outlook: Solid fourth-quarter GDP 
Jan. 31, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Despite historically cold weather and mixed economic reports, GDP was strong and bodes well for 2014
Weekly Update: 'Atlanta, we're ready for the snow'—Mayor Kasim Reed 
Jan. 31, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
EM troubles could spark long-awaited correction but not likely anything worse
Market Memo: The EM isn't a monolith 
Jan. 27, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Troubles among some emerging markets don't necessarily signal troubles for all
Orlando's Outlook: As Washington goes, so goes the consumer 
Jan. 24, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Phil wonders if Washington has the political will to tackle the imminent debt ceiling date
Weekly Update: Zicke-zacke, zicke-zacke, hoi, hoi, hoi 
Jan. 24, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Inflation, top-line revenue trends bode well for market (and a correction would be OK)
Orlando's Outlook: Economic acceleration 
Jan. 17, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
We raise our second-quarter GDP estimate on mounting evidence of economic recovery.
Weekly Update: What if it's just the fourth inning? 
Jan. 17, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
Expansion appears to be picking up steam and, given how far the economy fell, has a ways to go
Secular Bull Update: From fear to greed 
Jan. 16, 2014 :: Stephen F. Auth
Individuals and businesses who realize the world isn't ending represent the next market catalysts
Orlando's Outlook: Weather freezes December jobs report 
Jan. 10, 2014 :: Philip J. Orlando
Nonfarm payrolls come in well below forecasts while jobless rate falls for the wrong reasons
Weekly Update: The perfect week to 'blame it on the weather' 
Jan. 10, 2014 :: Linda A. Duessel
The cold and snowy winter may be messing with seasonal data, led by December's jobs report
2014 Global Economic Outlook 
Dec. 30, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Will 2014 be a good year for U.S. stocks and the European economy?
Orlando's Outlook: Good follows great 
Dec. 20, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Consumer spending, Fed, Washington, jobs, manufacturing bode well for stocks and economy
Weekly Update: In a holiday mood 
Dec. 19, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
The Fed adds to the catalysts that are keeping this rally going
Orlando's Outlook: Merry taper sparks shift to max equity overweight 
Dec. 19, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Fed's move adds to economic and earnings momentum driving stocks' rally
Orlando's Outlook: Progress 
Dec. 13, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Bipartisan buget bill could bode well for Christmas spending and the economy
Weekly Update: You hear what you want to hear 
Dec. 13, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
There may be a few bumps before year-end but it's been a good year
In short: 2014 S&P target lifted to 2,100 
Dec. 6, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Growth is accelerating and that's good for earnings
Orlando's Outlook: Countdown to taper 
Dec. 6, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Accelerating job market could prompt a move but uncertainties remain for Fed
Weekly Update: 'The Arizona Room' 
Dec. 6, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Latest batch of economic data builds case for bullish 2014
Weekly Update: 'They're killing me!' 
Nov. 27, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
While clients worry about losing money, the market keeps making more
Orlando's Outlook: Happy Thanksgivukkah 
Nov. 27, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
It could be a decent season and springboard for 2014 if Washington stays out of the way
Orlando's Outlook: Off-year election lessons 
Nov. 22, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
2013 elections suggest Americans want moderate, get-it-done leaders
Weekly Update: Blue skies 
Nov. 22, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
A correction may be coming but there's a lot to like about the longer outlook
Weekly Update: Warmth from the weather and people in California 
Nov. 15, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
A correction may come but the fundamentals indicate equities have longer-term momentum
Orlando's Outlook: Is improving GDP growth sustainable? 
Nov. 12, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
The third quarter was a pleasant surprise but more Washington drama could disrupt momentum
Secular Bull Update: The story remains the same 
Nov. 11, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
While a pullback is possible, macroenvironment still favors equities
Orlando's Outlook: Is tapering back in play? 
Nov. 8, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
October's surprisingly strong jobs report leaves market wondering what Fed will do
Weekly Update: Serenity now! 
Nov. 8, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
The jobs report may move up Fed taper but it's still good news for stocks
Orlando's Outlook: Retail sales were decent after all 
Nov. 1, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Beyond worrisome headlines, the numbers suggest consumers could surprise this holiday season
Weekly Update: Everything looks good in paradise 
Nov. 1, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
And on the mainland, too, as a potential melt-up could be in the offing
Orlando's Outlook: Flying blind 
Oct. 25, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Washington's dysfunction throws a cloud over outlook, leading us to lower our GDP forecasts
Weekly Update: Taking off the Halloween masks of QE and ACA 
Oct. 25, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
These issues could be a big headwind for the economy and markets in 2014
Weekly Update: That taper has been pushed off for months and months 
Oct. 18, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
With an all-in Fed and end to the latest but surely not last round of fiscal drama, stocks may be good to go
Orlando's Outlook: Groundhog Day 
Oct. 18, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
The can got kicked again but we worry another act of fiscal drama may be playing soon
Orlando's Outlook: Hey Washington—it's the economy, stupid 
Oct. 11, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
The next few days should determine if congressional Republicans and Obama can find common ground
Weekly Update: Kicking the turkey down the road 
Oct. 11, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
If a debt deal gets struck, the markets are going to love it ... until the next self-made crisis arises
Orlando's Outlook: Washington's leadership vacuum 
Oct. 4, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Both Congress and Obama are responsible for current mess but there are ways to fix it
Weekly Update: 'The True North strong and free' 
Oct. 4, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Washington sheningans may do the market a favor. But let me ask you, have you ever been to Vancouver?
Time is a growth investor's friend 
Oct. 2, 2013 :: Lawrence E. Auriana
Senior Portfolio Manager Larry Auriana discusses growth investing for the long term.
2014—The return of growth 
Oct. 2, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Chief Investment Officer for Global Equities Steve Auth examines what will drive economic growth in 2014.
Bull market transitioning to new phase 
Oct. 1, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Chief Investment Officer for Global Equities Steve Auth discusses the transition from the first phase of the bull market to the second
Orlando's Outlook: Housing's not dead yet 
Sept. 27, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Mortgage rates may have slowed momentum but there are many reasons to think it's only temporary
Weekly Update: When is a contrary indicator a contrary indicator? 
Sept. 27, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Washington's dithering may hurt stocks for a while but don't lose sight of the fundmental drivers of this bull
Orlando's Outlook: Autumn's coming, Summers' done and Fed taper on hold 
Sept. 20, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Events shape an equity rally later but expect a pullback near-term
Weekly Update: 'Welcome to the Hotel California' 
Sept. 20, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Fed eliminates one of September's headline risks but there's still time for negative surprises
Market Memo: Ben throws a tantrum of his own 
Sept. 19, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Fed chairman lets market know that policymakers, not bond vigilantes, are in charge
Secular Bull Update: Be ready for a possible market pullback 
Sept. 16, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
Looming issues could spark an equity sell-off but long-term, this market remains bullish
Orlando's Outlook: From 'Fiscal Drag' to 'Wealth Effect' 
Sept. 13, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Federated raising growth forecast on better fundamentals
Weekly Update: 'Stay hungry. Stay foolish' 
Sept. 13, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Rates may be headed higher but not enough, it seems, to derail strengthening economy
Weekly Update: 'Lowest participation rate since 1978' 
Sept. 6, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Weak jobs report belies other signs of economic acceleration
Orlando's Outlook: Close enough for government work 
Sept. 6, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
August's tepid jobs report does just enough to keep Fed on tapering track
Weekly Update: Smile in the age of worry 
Aug. 30, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Bumps in the road shouldn't derail this market's long-term potential
Orlando's Outlook: Seasonal bear offers bullish opportunity 
Aug. 30, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Several issues could trip up the market in coming weeks but the longer-term bull appears solid
Orlando's Outlook: Status quo at the Fed 
Aug. 23, 2013 :: Philip J. Orlando
Little clarity forthcoming this week over central bank's plans
Weekly Update: Pardon me, boy, the U.S. is on the verge of greatness again 
Aug. 23, 2013 :: Linda A. Duessel
Tapering and Fed chairman blather may keep correction going for a while but it shouldn't last
Infographic: As housing and autos rev up, so should the economy 
Aug. 22, 2013 ::
Employment in the auto and housing sectors are drivers of economic growth.
Equity Outlook: Growth set to star in secular bull's second act 
Jul. 1, 2013 :: Stephen F. Auth
The current pullback is healthy for a market that could push 2,000 on the S&P 500 in 2014

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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